Pakistan’s journey in the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 has taken a tough turn after back-to-back defeats. However, while the chances of qualifying for the semi-finals are extremely slim, they are still mathematically possible. Pakistan’s Path For Pakistan to secure a spot in the semi-finals, a series of favorable results must align perfectly.
Pakistan’s Road to the Semi-Finals Pakistan’s Path

For Pakistan to qualify, the following scenarios must occur:
- Bangladesh Must Defeat New Zealand (Feb 24)
Pakistan’s chances depend on Bangladesh overcoming New Zealand in their upcoming match. A win for New Zealand would significantly diminish Pakistan’s hopes. - Pakistan Must Beat Bangladesh Convincingly (Feb 27)
Pakistan must win and secure a massive margin of victory to boost its net run rate (NRR), which will be a crucial factor in its standing. - India Must Defeat New Zealand (March 2)
If India manages to beat New Zealand, it will push the Black Caps further down the points table, increasing Pakistan’s qualification hopes. - New Zealand Must Lose Both Matches by Large Margins
Since New Zealand already has an advantage, they must lose both their remaining games by significant margins to bring their NRR below Pakistan’s.
The Biggest Threat: Washouts Pakistan’s Path
If any of these matches are abandoned due to rain, Pakistan will be officially eliminated from the tournament. This makes the qualification process even more challenging as they have no control over external factors like weather conditions.
Can Pakistan Pull Off a Pakistan’s Path Miracle?
The odds are heavily stacked against Pakistan, and they require multiple match results to go in their favour. While miracles have happened in cricket before, Pakistan’s qualification remains an uphill battle.
Final Thoughts
Pakistan’s performance in the ICC Champions Trophy has been disappointing so far, but fans still hold onto a glimmer of hope. If all the stars align and Pakistan plays exceptional cricket, there’s still a mathematical chance to reach the semi-finals. However, realistically speaking, the path remains highly unlikely.
Stay tuned for more updates on Pakistan’s journey in the ICC Champions Trophy 2025!